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What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

3.0% (24h)1T
KalshiKalshiNur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Marktqualitat 31Niedrige QualitatDunner Markt553 Pt Abweichung

Alarme

Folge diesem Markt, um Alarme zu erstellen.

Entscheidungsunterstützung

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Event does not qualify 6%

Marktqualitat

31 / 100

Niedrige Qualitat
Geld / Brief

2.0% / 3.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 28 Minuten

Zuletzt aktualisiert: 5. Apr., 23:51

Auflosung

07.04.2026, 14:00

24h-Volumen

735,1 €

Liquidität

1250,7 €

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-

Niedrige LiquiditatDunner MarktNahe an der Auflosung
Start 01.04.2026, 02:00Ende 07.04.2026, 14:00

Trends

Keine Diagrammdaten verfügbar.
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
+3.0%6%
Iran
Iran
-1.0%63%
Jesus
Jesus
-5.0%73%
Melania
Melania
-13.0%66%
Ballroom
Ballroom
-3.0%55%
Democrat
Democrat
+8.0%37%
Egg
Egg
+1.0%85%
Pope
Pope
+7.0%15%
Movie Star
Movie Star
+3.0%32%
Biden
Biden
+2.0%25%
Hottest
Hottest
-6.0%28%
Transgender
Transgender
+3.0%12%
Inflation
Inflation
-2.0%15%
NASA / Moon
NASA / Moon
-40%
Supreme Court
Supreme Court
-11.0%11%
November 5
November 5
+4.0%11%
Shutdown / Shut Down
Shutdown / Shut Down
-2.0%22%
Rescue / Rescued
Rescue / Rescued
-68%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
-91%
Settle / Deal
Settle / Deal
-53%
Hormuz
Hormuz
-37%
Polymarket

Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket

553 Pt Abweichung
KalshiKalshi
Zuletzt aktualisiert: vor 28 Minuten
Iran
63%
Ballroom
55%
Movie Star
32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
91%
Vol

1629,5 €

24h Vol

735,1 €

Liq

1250,7 €

Spread: Breiter SpreadLiquidität: Niedrige Liquiditat
Nur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% GebührAbwicklung in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Zuletzt aktualisiert: vor 17 Minuten
Iran
▲ +3pt66%
Ballroom
▼ 1pt54%
Movie Star
0pt32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
▼ 91pt-
Vol

72.983,6 €

24h Vol

24.872,4 €

Liq

22.179,7 €

Spread: Breiter SpreadLiquidität: Mittlere Liquiditat
In den USA nicht verfügbarKein KYC2% GebührAbwicklung in USDC
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Regeln

If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Video of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
  • Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
  • If Donald Trump says Biden as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.