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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Entschieden: 04.06.2026, 18:20

Gewinnausgang

Oh Se-hoon

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

10%

Überraschung
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat

63 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1397,3 €

Liquidität

1122,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Tagen

Veraltet
16. Dez. 25, 15:003. Juni 27, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%2. Juni3. Juni4. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Regeln

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.