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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

24T
KalshiKalshiNur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Marktqualitat 29Niedrige QualitatDunner Markt773 Pt Abweichung

Alarme

Folge diesem Markt, um Alarme zu erstellen.

Entscheidungsunterstützung

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Stupid Question 5%

Marktqualitat

29 / 100

Niedrige Qualitat
Geld / Brief

4.0% / 5.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten

Zuletzt aktualisiert: 5. Apr., 16:40

Auflosung

30.04.2026, 14:00

24h-Volumen

75,3 €

Liquidität

330,3 €

Spread

25.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-

Niedrige LiquiditatDunner MarktNahe an der Auflosung
Start 01.04.2026, 00:00Ende 30.04.2026, 14:00

Trends

Keine Diagrammdaten verfügbar.
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Stupid Question
Stupid Question
0.0%5%
Easter
Easter
-2.0%49%
Radical Left
Radical Left
-1.0%12%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Crypto / Bitcoin
-2.0%2%
Supreme Court
Supreme Court
+6.0%56%
Stock Market
Stock Market
-10.0%4%
Iran
Iran
+1.0%96%
ICE / DHS
ICE / DHS
+13.0%71%
Nuclear
Nuclear
-1.0%84%
TSA
TSA
-8.0%63%
App
App
0.0%28%
Affordable / Affordability
Affordable / Affordability
-11.0%16%
China
China
-4.0%55%
Fraud
Fraud
0.0%41%
Save Act / Save America Act
Save Act / Save America Act
+1.0%41%
Biden
Biden
-4.0%68%
Oil
Oil
-8.0%69%
Hormuz
Hormuz
+11.0%79%
Fake News
Fake News
-10.0%33%
Healthcare
Healthcare
-20.0%3%
Tariff
Tariff
-1.0%24%
Russia / Russian
Russia / Russian
-10.0%39%
Birthright
Birthright
-6.0%58%
FBI
FBI
-3.0%38%
Shutdown / Shut Down
Shutdown / Shut Down
-9.0%65%
Polymarket

Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket

773 Pt Abweichung
KalshiKalshi
Zuletzt aktualisiert: vor 20 Minuten
TSA
63%
Fraud
41%
FBI
38%
Iran
96%
Vol

391,2 €

24h Vol

75,3 €

Liq

330,3 €

Spread: Breiter SpreadLiquidität: Niedrige Liquiditat
Nur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% GebührAbwicklung in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Zuletzt aktualisiert: vor 27 Minuten
TSA
▼ 7pt56%
Fraud
▼ 4pt37%
FBI
▼ 3pt35%
Iran
▼ 96pt-
Vol

2150,4 €

24h Vol

666,5 €

Liq

2751,1 €

Spread: Mittlerer SpreadLiquidität: Niedrige Liquiditat
In den USA nicht verfügbarKein KYC2% GebührAbwicklung in USDC
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Regeln

If the White House Press Secretary says Biden at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Russia / Russian at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Tariff at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Supreme Court at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.