KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 81%
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
78,3 €
Liquidität
3170,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.0% / 81.0%
Spread
1.3%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 19:007. Aug. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes81%
Volumentrend
$892. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
114.641,8 €Angela Murray: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island UK S13: Winners
42.144,8 €Julia: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island UK S13 · Eliminations Before August
24.596,9 €Samraj: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
1257,8 €Other (Season Cancelled): 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be officially announced as a competitor on "Dancing with the Stars" (US) before July 1, 2028?
742,1 €Ann Coulter: 18.4%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SBF ever be featured on the show Love During Lockup?
187,4 €Ja: 4.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Regeln
If Ariana Madix performs as the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, Ariana Madix satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: Ariana Madix is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: Ariana Madix appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the official host in any official performance, showing, or release of Love Island USA Season 9.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Love Island USA Season 9 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ariana Madix was officially announced in the official host, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”