Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Haley Stevens 84%-2.0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
229,2 €
Liquidität
6750,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
84.0% / 86.0%
Spread
2.4%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
16. Apr. 26, 14:004. Aug. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Haley Stevens84%
Verwandte Märkte
Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place
4435,9 €James Fishback: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place
887,6 €Jay Collins: 22%KALSHI
KALSHINY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place
0,3 €Micah Lasher: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next French Presidential Election
538.572,7 €Jordan Bardella: 26%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
516.696,3 €Gavin Newsom: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
352.491,2 €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Mallory McMorrow finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.