KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit0 1%-13.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
41.455 €
Liquidität
32.186,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
30. Juni 26, 14:001. Aug. 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
01%
Verwandte Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028
890.334,5 €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
606.703 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
448.682,7 €Gavin Newsom: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
312.548,7 €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
267.137,9 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
190.660,6 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court spurns Trump Carroll appeal as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 1 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 2 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 3 and 9 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 10 and 24 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 99 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.