KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Z.ai 72.7%Führend unter 20 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
34.872,3 €
Liquidität
33.706,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 17:001. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
Regeln
If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe Verge
- Confirmation requires that the named company has itself publicly stated, or its official channels have confirmed, that it built or operates the model listed on OpenRouter as Ox Alpha.
- Relaunching or renaming the same model under the company's own brand counts.
- A company is identified by its corporate identity, not its product brand.
- Independent technical analysis, including tokenizer, benchmark or encoder fingerprinting, does not count however confident, unless the named company itself confirms.
- the named outcome is the outcome if no company is confirmed as described above, or the company so confirmed is not among those named in this event.
Offene Märkte
ExchangeKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,500 or above+96.0pt99%
- $74,500 or above+82.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+93.0pt99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.2pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+18.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+53.0pt99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.8pt12.1%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+3.7pt11.1%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt11.1%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHow high will ETH get in August?
- Above $2,000.0099%
- Above $2,250.0097%
- Above $2,500.00+36.0pt78%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 386.158,3 €
KALSHIXRP price at Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1.33991 or above+85.0pt99%
- $1.29991 or above+77.0pt99%
- $1.03991 or above+5.0pt99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- How low will BTC get in August?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
- Ethereum above ___ on August 22?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 24?
- SOL price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Kalshi bewertet Z.ai mit 73% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Which company is behind Ox Alpha? entschieden?
- Which company is behind Ox Alpha? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which company is behind Ox Alpha? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.