KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJay Clayton 97.1%+0.9ptFührend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
18.235 €
Liquidität
676.560,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
22. Mai 26, 19:3520. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Jay Clayton99%
Plattformen vergleichen· Jay Clayton
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 99% | — | 18.235 € | 676.560,4 € | vor 12 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste64% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 30.583,8 € | 0 € | vor 45 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Other (100%)
100%
-11.4pt0%
-6.3pt0%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
29 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen187.636,3 €
24h-Volumen30.583,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yesvor 17 Tagen
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yesvor 17 Tagen$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yesvor 17 Tagen
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yesvor 17 TagenVolumentrend
$20.7k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.