Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Andy Burnham, ≥15% (99%)
Entschieden: 19.06.2026, 03:29
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Andy Burnham, 3-6% 1%-17.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
95,9 €
Liquidität
256,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet26. Mai 26, 17:0018. Juni 27, 14:00
Trends
1%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory
48.0%
+48.0%100%
-13.4%0%
-5.5%0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen54.112,2 €
24h-Volumen15.063,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.