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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?
Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?

Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.

Entschieden: 03.06.2026, 06:29

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Spencer Pratt
Spencer Pratt 1%-1.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

77 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

7514,2 €

Liquidität

42.607,3 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 1.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen

Veraltet
11. Mai 26, 17:301. Juni 28, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Spencer Pratt
Spencer Pratt
-1.0%
1%
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
+1.0%
99%
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
99%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Karen Bass is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Los Angeles certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Karen Bass has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first.
  • Official certification is not required for resolution.
  • This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
  • If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.

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920.991,6 €
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

427.979,6 €
Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

423.372,8 €
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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

1615,1 €
Jon Ossoff: 7%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

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1246,3 €
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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,161.81+0.66%EthereumETH$1,679.86+0.28%SolanaSOL$68.26+1.16%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882-3.82%XRPXRP$1.15+0.86%BNBBNB$608.49-0.12%

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Regeln

If Karen Bass is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Los Angeles certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Karen Bass has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first.
  • Official certification is not required for resolution.
  • This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
  • If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.