KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBen McAdams 93%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
1382,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
89.0% / 92.6%
Spread
3.6 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
17. Nov. 25, 15:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Ben McAdams93%
Plattformen vergleichen· Ben McAdams
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 32.181,8 € | vor 25 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 93% | — | 0 € | 1382,2 € | vor 25 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
UT-01 House Election Winner
3Mon
94%
6%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen31.893 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$404. Juli4T Daten25. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1,1 Mio. €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
899.377 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
451.109,2 €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
404.972,5 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
365.427,3 €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
167.637,6 €Jay Collins: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.