KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocratic party 79%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2711,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.0% / 97.6%
Spread
2.7%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 1:053. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic party79%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 96% | 0pt | 159,4 € | 27.728,6 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 79% | -17pt | 0 € | 2711,6 € | vor 2 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
CA-52 House Election Winner
3Mon
96%
6%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
56 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen37.636,2 €
24h-Volumen159,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-52 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-52 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the House member sworn in for CA-52 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-52 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.