Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
70.0% (24h)
KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 40 (97%)
Entschieden: 27.05.2026, 13:53
Gewinnausgang
Above 40
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
51%
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 40 97%+70.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
807,1 €
Liquidität
1254,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Tagen
Veraltet19. Mai 26, 14:1024. Aug. 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Above 4097%
Above 3099%
Above 501%
Above 2586%
Above 2098%
Above 1587%
Above 753%
Above 1099%
Above 1003%
Above 599%
97%
99%
1%
99%
98%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Regeln
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.