Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
79° or above 1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
20,3 €
Liquidität
19,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
14. Juni 26, 14:0016. Juni 26, 8:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
79° or above1%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
11Std
33%
33%
20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen8608,2 €
24h-Volumen8608,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 14, 2026?
653,2 €71° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jun 14, 2026?
3129 €76° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 14, 2026?
1278,9 €85° to 86°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
64.202,3 €28°C: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
50.991,3 €21°C: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.