KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit71° to 72° 44.1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
12.068,6 €
Liquidität
9719,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 14:0030. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
68° or below13%
Plattformen vergleichen· 71° to 72°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 45% | — | 12.068,6 € | 9719,6 € | vor 18 Minuten | |
 Polymarket86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 44% | — | 10.732 € | 12.438,8 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 29?
1.5 pts1Std
+20.5pt46.3%
-18.0pt23.2%
+11.5pt20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
71 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen12.113,4 €
24h-Volumen10.732 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 29, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$13.7k28. Juli2T Daten29. Juli
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 29, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.