KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit70° or below 36.2%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3425,8 €
Liquidität
3066,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 28 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 14:0029. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
70° or below38%
Plattformen vergleichen· 70° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 38% | — | 3425,8 € | 3066,6 € | vor 28 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 41% | — | 9857,6 € | 25.570,1 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 28?
1.5 pts7Std
+5.5pt38%
+6.0pt26.9%
+1.0pt14.8%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
50 • Mittlere QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen12.501,9 €
24h-Volumen9857,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3.9k27. Juli2T Daten28. Juli
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.