Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
82° or above 19%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
16.035,8 €
Liquidität
12.186,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 14:0023. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
82° or above19%
Plattformen vergleichen· 73° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 29% | — | 16.035,8 € | 12.186,2 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 31% | — | 23.713,4 € | 48.217,6 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?
14.0%8Std
+11.0%31%
+9.8%20%
-14.0%20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen24.219,3 €
24h-Volumen23.713,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$18.3k21. Juli2T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?
220.939,8 €77° to 78°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?
333.765,4 €79° to 80°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 21, 2026?
297.772,1 €81° or above: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?
175.188,9 €28°C: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
92.773,6 €25°C: 46%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 83 F on July 21, 2026?
72.228,1 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.