Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
70° or below 3%-7.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
15.657,5 €
Liquidität
12.895,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 14:0016. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
70° or below3%
Volumentrend
$17.9k14. Juli2T Daten15. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 16, 2026?
562 €74° or above: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?
334.060,3 €86° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?
93.692,4 €96° or below: 53%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
39.100,8 €16°C: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 16?
31.089 €28°C: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
30.447,5 €29°C: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 5 Closes In on Opus 4.8 at a Fraction of the PriceDecryptAI Legal Document Review Gains Momentum in 2026Blockchain.NewsRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 15, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.