Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° to 75° 29.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
937,8 €
Liquidität
916,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 14:0029. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
76° to 77°20%
Plattformen vergleichen· 74° to 75°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 38% | — | 4417,1 € | 43.894,2 € | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 28% | — | 937,8 € | 916,7 € | vor 11 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 28?
18Std
35.5%
29.9%
14.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
74 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen4412,7 €
24h-Volumen4417,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 27, 2026?
14.079,7 €75° or below: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
361.597,7 €87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 27, 2026?
100.903,7 €83° to 84°: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
43.957,1 €29°C: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
37.997,6 €12°C: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 28?
37.148,5 €34°C: 45%POLYMARKET
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.