Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
69° or below 14%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6829,3 €
Liquidität
4666,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
14.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
25. Juli 26, 14:0027. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
69° or below14%
Plattformen vergleichen· 72° to 73°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 34% | — | 9875,6 € | 37.913,8 € | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 39% | — | 6829,3 € | 4666,2 € | vor 11 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 26?
1.1%4Std
+3.0%34%
-1.5%30%
+0.5%16%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen13.147,5 €
24h-Volumen9875,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7.8k25. Juli2T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 25, 2026?
65.787,3 €71° to 72°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 25, 2026?
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KALSHIHighest temperature in LA on Jul 26, 2026?
67.075,8 €87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
114.029,3 €28°C: 79%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 26?
98.067,9 €29°C: 96%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 26?
94.002,6 €35°C: 92%POLYMARKET
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.