Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
92° to 93° 43%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
7537,1 €
Liquidität
6127 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
2.4%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 14:0023. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
92° to 93°43%
Plattformen vergleichen· 92° to 93°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 37% | — | 9991,3 € | 50.377,1 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Hoch | 43% | — | 7537,1 € | 6127 € | vor 27 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 22?
6Std
-6.0%37%
+5.0%27%
23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen13.479,6 €
24h-Volumen9991,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 92° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$8.6k21. Juli2T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 21, 2026?
122.388,3 €88° to 89°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 21, 2026?
295.863,6 €81° or above: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?
220.187,9 €77° to 78°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?
187.052,2 €28°C: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
97.540,2 €25°C: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 22?
84.425,1 €27°C: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 92° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.