Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
68° or below 38%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1025,8 €
Liquidität
781,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
34.0% / 38.0%
Spread
11.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 33 Minuten
15. Juli 26, 14:0017. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
68° or below38%
Plattformen vergleichen· 68° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 28% | — | 8895,2 € | 44.091,3 € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 38% | — | 1025,8 € | 781,6 € | vor 33 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 16?
19Std
28%
26%
22%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen8895,2 €
24h-Volumen8895,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.