Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
78° or above 16%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2523,9 €
Liquidität
1970,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
166.7%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
10. Juli 26, 14:0012. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
78° or above16%
Plattformen vergleichen· 74° to 75°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 32% | — | 10.167,4 € | 42.961,3 € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 31% | — | 2523,9 € | 1970,5 € | vor 6 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
5.5%9Std
+5.5%32%
+7.5%25%
-5.5%22%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen11.086 €
24h-Volumen10.167,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.9k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.