Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° or below 1%-9.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
84.910,3 €
Liquidität
45.236,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
6. Juli 26, 14:008. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
74° or below1%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 8?
10Std
32%
28%
17%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen12.708,7 €
24h-Volumen12.708,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 7, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$97.0k6. Juli3T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 8, 2026?
3705,9 €74° to 75°: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 7, 2026?
422.177,8 €77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 7, 2026?
189.916,2 €80° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 8?
197.023,8 €28°C: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
70.164,8 €30°C: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 8?
60.914,6 €36°C: 36%POLYMARKET
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 7, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.