Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
103° or below 46%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5365,7 €
Liquidität
4359,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 46.0%
Spread
12.2%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 7:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
103° or below46%
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 3, 2026?
34.546,1 €108° to 109°: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
341.382,4 €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 3, 2026?
52.100,8 €70° to 71°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
154.378,7 €32°C: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
120.599 €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
94.573,2 €30°C: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 104° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.