Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
101° or below 17%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4892,3 €
Liquidität
4642,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
21.0% / 24.0%
Spread
14.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
101° or below17%
Volumentrend
$5.6k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 12, 2026?
27.779,8 €105° to 106°: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
599.853,5 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
92.201,7 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
156.046,2 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.157,3 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.861,3 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 102° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.