Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
95° or above 2%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5117,1 €
Liquidität
4469,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 6:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
95° or above2%
Plattformen vergleichen· 86° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 35% | — | 20.109,2 € | 41.422,8 € | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 48% | — | 5117,1 € | 4469,2 € | vor 6 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?
2.7%9Std
+3.5%35%
+9.0%27%
-1.0%23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen20.564,6 €
24h-Volumen20.109,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$5.8k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 12, 2026?
59.998,9 €95° to 96°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
603.326,2 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
91.895,8 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
156.007,7 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.127,6 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.833,7 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.