KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit79° to 80° 41.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
22.369,3 €
Liquidität
17.495,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 14:0029. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
79° to 80°46%
Plattformen vergleichen· 79° to 80°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 32% | — | 40.812,8 € | 82.554,5 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 46% | — | 22.369,3 € | 17.495,3 € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Gemini93% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 43% | — | 26,4 € | 0 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 28, 2026?
22Std
41.1%
34%
18.2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen26,4 €
24h-Volumen26,4 €
GEMINIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 28?
6.0 pts6Std
+4.0pt30.5%
+6.5pt28.6%
-7.0pt20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
76 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen44.391,9 €
24h-Volumen40.812,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$25.5k27. Juli2T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.