Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
80° or below 60%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
11.508,3 €
Liquidität
9002,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
63.0% / 64.0%
Spread
1.6%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
10. Juli 26, 14:0012. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
80° or below60%
Plattformen vergleichen· 80° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 60% | — | 11.508,3 € | 9002,9 € | vor 5 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 40% | — | 28.860,3 € | 45.804,9 € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 11?
10Std
40%
27%
18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen28.841,2 €
24h-Volumen28.860,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$13.1k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 10, 2026?
81.665,1 €86° or below: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 10, 2026?
90.424,2 €78° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 10, 2026?
59.741,9 €86° to 87°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
52.744,4 €34°C: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
48.227,8 €31°C: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?
46.389,6 €74-75°F: 60%POLYMARKET
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.