Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
81° to 82° 26%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5242,3 €
Liquidität
4505,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
8.7%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
10. Juli 26, 14:0012. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
81° to 82°26%
Plattformen vergleichen· 83° to 84°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 52% | — | 7986,6 € | 44.388,4 € | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 51% | — | 5242,3 € | 4505,9 € | vor 3 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 11?
10Std
52%
21%
17%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7928,3 €
24h-Volumen7986,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is less than 81° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is between 81-82° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$6.0k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 10, 2026?
90.424,2 €78° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 10, 2026?
66.162,5 €91° to 92°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 10, 2026?
59.741,9 €86° to 87°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
52.744,4 €34°C: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
48.227,8 €31°C: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?
46.389,6 €74-75°F: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is less than 81° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is between 81-82° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.