Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
86° to 87° 36%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
437,4 €
Liquidität
303,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
33.0% / 37.0%
Spread
12.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
15. Juli 26, 14:0017. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
86° to 87°36%
Plattformen vergleichen· 86° to 87°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 38% | — | 10.342,1 € | 45.676,3 € | vor 5 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 36% | — | 437,4 € | 303,8 € | vor 25 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 16?
19Std
38%
25%
18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen10.342,1 €
24h-Volumen10.342,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 15, 2026?
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Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?
164.044 €86° or above: 7%KALSHI
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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 15, 2026?
38.956,7 €78° or above: 1%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
38.762,2 €16°C: 58%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
27.505 €80-81°F: 40%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27.263,6 €29°C: 39%POLYMARKET
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.