Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
84° or below 64%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
6972,9 €
Liquidität
5923,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
62.0% / 65.0%
Spread
4.8%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 14:0015. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
84° or below64%
Plattformen vergleichen· 84° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 64% | — | 6972,9 € | 5923,5 € | vor 25 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 36% | — | 12.375,5 € | 47.481,9 € | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 14?
0.1%7Std
+3.0%36%
+1.0%28%
+1.0%20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen15.187 €
24h-Volumen12.375,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7.9k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 13, 2026?
37.409,9 €93° to 94°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 13, 2026?
474.401 €77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 13, 2026?
157.270,7 €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102.453 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
94.581,2 €32°C: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
92.037,7 €29°C: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.