US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5% (24h)3Mon
KalshiNur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% GebührMarktqualitat 55 • Mittlere QualitatDunner Markt196 Pt Abweichung
Alarme
Folge diesem Markt, um Alarme zu erstellen.
Entscheidungsunterstützung
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 1.0% 89%
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere QualitatGeld / Brief
89.0% / 90.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
Zuletzt aktualisiert: 6. Apr., 0:20
Auflosung
30.07.2026, 14:00
24h-Volumen
142,7 €
Liquidität
2276,4 €
Spread
1.1%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-
Niedrige LiquiditatDunner Markt
Start 24.01.2026, 15:00Ende 30.07.2026, 14:00
Trends
Keine Diagrammdaten verfügbar.
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
KalshiZuletzt aktualisiert: vor 6 Minuten
Above 1.0%
0pt89%
Above 1.5%
0pt70%
Above 2.0%
0pt57%
Above 2.5%
0pt41%
Vol
4262,4 €
24h Vol
142,7 €
Liq
2276,4 €
Spread: Enger SpreadLiquidität: Niedrige Liquiditat
Nur US-EinwohnerKYC erforderlich2% GebührAbwicklung in USD
PolymarketZuletzt aktualisiert: vor 20 Minuten
Above 1.0%
▼ 89pt-
Above 1.5%
▼ 70pt-
Above 2.0%
▼ 57pt-
Above 2.5%
▼ 41pt-
Vol
204.797,9 €
24h Vol
841,8 €
Liq
18.798,8 €
Spread: Breiter SpreadLiquidität: Niedrige Liquiditat
In den USA nicht verfügbarKein KYC2% GebührAbwicklung in USDC
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Regeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Makro-Sensible Assets
