KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitTadej Pogacar 64%-3.0%Führend unter 100 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
329,7 €
Liquidität
2602,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
61.0% / 63.0%
Spread
3.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 1:009. Aug. 26, 17:50
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Tadej Pogacar64%
Plattformen vergleichen· Adam Yates
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 0% | -47pt | 329,7 € | 2602,1 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste62% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 47% | 0pt | 632,4 € | 7477,4 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey
2.0%19T
-2.0%62%
50%
50%
+110 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen4911,6 €
24h-Volumen632,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3768. Juli14T Daten21. Juli
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If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout