Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alexander Dobrindt 1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1327,4 €
Liquidität
22.559,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 17:488. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Alexander Dobrindt1%
Große Trades
$1.7k90.0%
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesvorgestern
KALSHIThorsten Frei — YesvorgesternVolumentrend
$1.5k21. Juli6T Daten26. Juli
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If Thorsten Frei formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Carsten Linnemann formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Dobrindt formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nina Warken formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.