KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitHike more than 25bps 3%-1.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2040,9 €
Liquidität
24.429,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
200.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
16. Juni 26, 20:0031. Juli 26, 2:29
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Hike more than 25bps3%
Plattformen vergleichen· Maintain current rate
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 98% | — | 2510,8 € | 84.843,1 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | 91% | — | 2040,9 € | 24.429,7 € | vor 2 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
1.2%22T
+1.2%98%
+0.1%1%
-0.8%1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
91 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen93.819,5 €
24h-Volumen2510,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.3k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Bank of England decision in September?
7408,9 €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
3065,9 €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
1319,1 €No Change: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in July
1186,6 €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
630,2 €Maintain current rate: 68%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in July
198,4 €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).