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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. California Governor primary: 1st place
California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

0.4% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl11Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton 1%+0.4%
Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

3403,7 €

Liquidität

32.909,9 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.9% / 1.2%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

4. Feb. 26, 23:002. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell
0%
Matt Mahan
Matt Mahan
0%
Chad Bianco
Chad Bianco
0%
Tom Steyer
Tom Steyer
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Steve Hilton1%

Regeln

If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election.
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method.
  • For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage.
  • For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place).
  • For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals.

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Regeln

If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election.
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method.
  • For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage.
  • For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place).
  • For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals.