Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 49 77%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
104,6 €
Liquidität
3840,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
78.0% / 80.0%
Spread
2.6%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
4. Juni 26, 4:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 4977%
Plattformen vergleichen· Above 49
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | 77% | — | 104,6 € | 3840,9 € | vor 4 Minuten | |
 Polymarket | 47% | — | 0 € | 43.975 € | vor 5 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
0.1%5Mon
47%
47%
47%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen635,3 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No.
- Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market.
- Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.
- If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1193. Juli3T Daten8. Juli
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If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No.
- Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market.
- Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.
- If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.