KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Trump 85%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Trump 85%Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3097,6 €
Open Interest
2791,7 €
Mittleres Open InterestMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 18:30 UTC19. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum?
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Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win by 100,000 votes or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If Abdul El-Sayed says Trump as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Abdul El-Sayed speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Trump
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Trump as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rogers
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Rogers as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Tariff as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Iran / Iranian as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Barack / Obama
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Barack / Obama as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Billionaire as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Israel / Israeli as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Corrupt / Corruption as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AIPAC
- If Abdul El-Sayed says AIPAC as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Filibuster
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Filibuster as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Abdul El-Sayed says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Union
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Union as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Data Center as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Abdul El-Sayed says Healthcare as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
