KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitPat Ryan 94.9%-2.2pt
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
553,6 €
Liquidität
2174,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.4% / 8.6%
Spread
4.2 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 21:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Jacqueline Auringer5%
Plattformen vergleichen· Pat Ryan
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 93% | — | 553,6 € | 2174,1 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Polymarket60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 90% | — | 0 € | 30.099,7 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
NY-18 House Election Winner
3Mon
90%
10%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen30.400,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for NY-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$6305. Juli10T Daten27. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for NY-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.