KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitMike Levin 99%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
7592,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 21:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Mike Levin94%
Plattformen vergleichen· Mike Levin
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 94% | — | 11.466,4 € | 64.686 € | vor 9 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 7592,4 € | vor 9 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
CA-49 House Election Winner
3Mon
94%
-1.0pt6%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
81 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen17.290 €
24h-Volumen11.466,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.