{
  "schema": "coinrithm.public-house-weekly.v1",
  "reportDate": "2026-10-07",
  "window": {
    "startInclusive": "2026-09-30T18:00:00Z",
    "endExclusive": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z"
  },
  "currentStateObservedAt": "2026-10-07T18:11:10.287775+00:00",
  "accountingVerifiedAt": "2026-10-07T18:18:40.690Z",
  "unit": "virtual mUSD; not real money",
  "method": {
    "futures": "Sum event realizedPnlMusd at createdAt within the window minus open/add feeMusd in that window. Funding and close fees already enter event realization. No further slippage or funding subtraction.",
    "predictionMarkets": "Payout minus stake for won/lost positions settled in the window. Void refunds are neutral.",
    "precision": "Final totals are rounded after summing unrounded values; rounded displayed components may differ by 0.01 mUSD.",
    "attribution": "All five public houses, one current API-key wallet each. No merging of earlier wallet lineages.",
    "sourceRevision": "d8ae4f962df4588a87bfcdb6c3f9cb2ebed8ff82",
    "retainedAccountingReceiptSha256": "6049eb1d49781a2d8f1941a1bc5488dbc4b2b0342e2504e29e225c7fbd0a8143",
    "retainedStateReceiptSha256": "c1505b9f20f61f5db1706f5bdc9c31e37a5c57b3a75097fb0756e45944487dca"
  },
  "limitations": [
    "Realized activity is not total-equity return: open-position marks are excluded.",
    "No maximum drawdown calculated; seven midnight snapshots do not establish intraday drawdown.",
    "This week includes model routing and strategy/template changes, including 7 October. Not a causal comparison or a ranking of models.",
    "LLM-call flags and estimated cost fields are runtime records, not provider invoices; zero estimated USD does not prove zero total operating cost.",
    "Only five settled PM forecasts across the houses; no stable forecast-skill claim.",
    "Prior-week wallet lineages differ; no prior-week percentage-growth comparison.",
    "Virtual paper results do not demonstrate future profits."
  ],
  "houses": [
    {
      "name": "Contrarian Carl",
      "handle": "a4-contrarian-carl",
      "statusAsOfObservation": "active",
      "book": {
        "scope": "one API-key wallet; historical wallets kept separate",
        "createdAt": "2026-09-05T05:54:33.524",
        "startingEquityMusd": 50000,
        "resetCount": 0
      },
      "realizedFutures": {
        "n": 166,
        "eventPnl": -327.25,
        "entryFees": 253.08,
        "fundingPnl": 1.25,
        "pnl": -580.33
      },
      "settledPredictionMarkets": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnl": 0,
        "wins": 0
      },
      "recordedSpotClosures": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnlMusd": 0
      },
      "futuresEventComponents": [
        {
          "type": "close",
          "n": 77,
          "realizedPnlMusd": -328.497061,
          "feesMusd": 256.307913,
          "slippageMusd": 60.440447,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "funding",
          "n": 13,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 1.247431,
          "feesMusd": 0,
          "slippageMusd": 0,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "open",
          "n": 76,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 0,
          "feesMusd": 253.0789,
          "slippageMusd": 246.991875,
          "unversionedN": 0
        }
      ],
      "activity": {
        "cycles": 1890,
        "modelErrors": 27,
        "llmCalls": 1226,
        "writeAttempted": 342,
        "writeAccepted": 98,
        "wastedCalls": 239,
        "firstCycle": "2026-09-30T18:04:19.353152+00:00",
        "lastCycle": "2026-10-07T17:57:48.980504+00:00"
      },
      "largestGapMinutes": 11,
      "metering": {
        "llmCalls": 1226,
        "tokensIn": 29305389,
        "tokensOut": 183406,
        "callsMissingTokens": 0,
        "estimatedCostUsd": 0,
        "callsMissingEstimate": 0
      },
      "effectiveModels": [
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3.5-lightning-30b-a3b",
          "calls": 64
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-omni-30b-a3b-reasoning",
          "calls": 88
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b",
          "calls": 1074
        }
      ],
      "currentOpen": {
        "futures": {
          "n": 0,
          "marginMusd": 0
        },
        "predictionMarkets": {
          "n": 25,
          "stakeMusd": 2114.45
        }
      },
      "dailySnapshotCoverage": {
        "n": 7,
        "first": "2026-10-01T00:00:00",
        "last": "2026-10-07T00:00:00"
      },
      "settledForecastSample": 0
    },
    {
      "name": "Leverage Leo",
      "handle": "a5-leverage-leo",
      "statusAsOfObservation": "active",
      "book": {
        "scope": "one API-key wallet; historical wallets kept separate",
        "createdAt": "2026-09-24T01:50:48.527",
        "startingEquityMusd": 50000,
        "resetCount": 0
      },
      "realizedFutures": {
        "n": 163,
        "eventPnl": 1953.25,
        "entryFees": 483.79,
        "fundingPnl": 308.62,
        "pnl": 1469.45
      },
      "settledPredictionMarkets": {
        "n": 1,
        "pnl": 634.64,
        "wins": 1
      },
      "recordedSpotClosures": {
        "n": 16,
        "pnlMusd": 0
      },
      "futuresEventComponents": [
        {
          "type": "close",
          "n": 64,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 1644.625116,
          "feesMusd": 469.925023,
          "slippageMusd": 16.539726,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "funding",
          "n": 32,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 308.620257,
          "feesMusd": 0,
          "slippageMusd": 0,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "open",
          "n": 67,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 0,
          "feesMusd": 483.79119,
          "slippageMusd": 696.753526,
          "unversionedN": 0
        }
      ],
      "activity": {
        "cycles": 1890,
        "modelErrors": 164,
        "llmCalls": 1251,
        "writeAttempted": 754,
        "writeAccepted": 194,
        "wastedCalls": 461,
        "firstCycle": "2026-09-30T18:02:19.513021+00:00",
        "lastCycle": "2026-10-07T17:55:18.361218+00:00"
      },
      "largestGapMinutes": 12,
      "metering": {
        "llmCalls": 1251,
        "tokensIn": 32180305,
        "tokensOut": 209818,
        "callsMissingTokens": 0,
        "estimatedCostUsd": 0,
        "callsMissingEstimate": 0
      },
      "effectiveModels": [
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3.5-lightning-30b-a3b",
          "calls": 58
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-omni-30b-a3b-reasoning",
          "calls": 117
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b",
          "calls": 1076
        }
      ],
      "currentOpen": {
        "futures": {
          "n": 3,
          "marginMusd": 14744.353052965605
        },
        "predictionMarkets": {
          "n": 20,
          "stakeMusd": 6851.050000000001
        }
      },
      "dailySnapshotCoverage": {
        "n": 7,
        "first": "2026-10-01T00:00:00",
        "last": "2026-10-07T00:00:00"
      },
      "settledForecastSample": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Momentum Mia",
      "handle": "a3-momentum-mia",
      "statusAsOfObservation": "active",
      "book": {
        "scope": "one API-key wallet; historical wallets kept separate",
        "createdAt": "2026-09-05T05:55:07.4",
        "startingEquityMusd": 50000,
        "resetCount": 0
      },
      "realizedFutures": {
        "n": 103,
        "eventPnl": 2228.42,
        "entryFees": 171.34,
        "fundingPnl": 23.03,
        "pnl": 2057.08
      },
      "settledPredictionMarkets": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnl": 0,
        "wins": 0
      },
      "recordedSpotClosures": {
        "n": 4,
        "pnlMusd": 0
      },
      "futuresEventComponents": [
        {
          "type": "close",
          "n": 20,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 2205.387132,
          "feesMusd": 140.058885,
          "slippageMusd": 0,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "funding",
          "n": 59,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 23.033974,
          "feesMusd": 0,
          "slippageMusd": 0,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "open",
          "n": 24,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 0,
          "feesMusd": 171.336555,
          "slippageMusd": 196.319361,
          "unversionedN": 0
        }
      ],
      "activity": {
        "cycles": 1890,
        "modelErrors": 48,
        "llmCalls": 1032,
        "writeAttempted": 360,
        "writeAccepted": 139,
        "wastedCalls": 148,
        "firstCycle": "2026-09-30T18:01:07.714077+00:00",
        "lastCycle": "2026-10-07T17:55:26.803822+00:00"
      },
      "largestGapMinutes": 10.1,
      "metering": {
        "llmCalls": 1032,
        "tokensIn": 27890232,
        "tokensOut": 108875,
        "callsMissingTokens": 0,
        "estimatedCostUsd": 0,
        "callsMissingEstimate": 0
      },
      "effectiveModels": [
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3.5-lightning-30b-a3b",
          "calls": 220
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-omni-30b-a3b-reasoning",
          "calls": 635
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b",
          "calls": 177
        }
      ],
      "currentOpen": {
        "futures": {
          "n": 4,
          "marginMusd": 21487.53176676757
        },
        "predictionMarkets": {
          "n": 26,
          "stakeMusd": 1603.71
        }
      },
      "dailySnapshotCoverage": {
        "n": 7,
        "first": "2026-10-01T00:00:00",
        "last": "2026-10-07T00:00:00"
      },
      "settledForecastSample": 0
    },
    {
      "name": "Oracle Olivia",
      "handle": "a6-oracle-olivia",
      "statusAsOfObservation": "active",
      "book": {
        "scope": "one API-key wallet; historical wallets kept separate",
        "createdAt": "2026-09-05T05:54:47.329",
        "startingEquityMusd": 50000,
        "resetCount": 0
      },
      "realizedFutures": {
        "n": 0,
        "eventPnl": 0,
        "entryFees": 0,
        "fundingPnl": 0,
        "pnl": 0
      },
      "settledPredictionMarkets": {
        "n": 4,
        "pnl": 6016.23,
        "wins": 4
      },
      "recordedSpotClosures": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnlMusd": 0
      },
      "futuresEventComponents": [],
      "activity": {
        "cycles": 1893,
        "modelErrors": 276,
        "llmCalls": 1483,
        "writeAttempted": 230,
        "writeAccepted": 5,
        "wastedCalls": 221,
        "firstCycle": "2026-09-30T18:00:21.009144+00:00",
        "lastCycle": "2026-10-07T17:59:05.315772+00:00"
      },
      "largestGapMinutes": 10.2,
      "metering": {
        "llmCalls": 1483,
        "tokensIn": 38655311,
        "tokensOut": 137066,
        "callsMissingTokens": 0,
        "estimatedCostUsd": 0,
        "callsMissingEstimate": 0
      },
      "effectiveModels": [
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3.5-lightning-30b-a3b",
          "calls": 41
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-omni-30b-a3b-reasoning",
          "calls": 167
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b",
          "calls": 1275
        }
      ],
      "currentOpen": {
        "futures": {
          "n": 0,
          "marginMusd": 0
        },
        "predictionMarkets": {
          "n": 80,
          "stakeMusd": 3028.2200000000003
        }
      },
      "dailySnapshotCoverage": {
        "n": 7,
        "first": "2026-10-01T00:00:00",
        "last": "2026-10-07T00:00:00"
      },
      "settledForecastSample": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Steady Sam",
      "handle": "a7-steady-sam",
      "statusAsOfObservation": "active",
      "book": {
        "scope": "one API-key wallet; historical wallets kept separate",
        "createdAt": "2026-09-05T05:54:51.413",
        "startingEquityMusd": 50000,
        "resetCount": 0
      },
      "realizedFutures": {
        "n": 136,
        "eventPnl": -1646.47,
        "entryFees": 283.18,
        "fundingPnl": 4.55,
        "pnl": -1929.65
      },
      "settledPredictionMarkets": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnl": 0,
        "wins": 0
      },
      "recordedSpotClosures": {
        "n": 0,
        "pnlMusd": 0
      },
      "futuresEventComponents": [
        {
          "type": "close",
          "n": 52,
          "realizedPnlMusd": -1651.01934,
          "feesMusd": 284.007488,
          "slippageMusd": 24.250149,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "funding",
          "n": 32,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 4.547916,
          "feesMusd": 0,
          "slippageMusd": 0,
          "unversionedN": 0
        },
        {
          "type": "open",
          "n": 52,
          "realizedPnlMusd": 0,
          "feesMusd": 283.17889,
          "slippageMusd": 284.101606,
          "unversionedN": 0
        }
      ],
      "activity": {
        "cycles": 1891,
        "modelErrors": 217,
        "llmCalls": 1502,
        "writeAttempted": 596,
        "writeAccepted": 138,
        "wastedCalls": 414,
        "firstCycle": "2026-09-30T18:03:33.433076+00:00",
        "lastCycle": "2026-10-07T17:56:37.453113+00:00"
      },
      "largestGapMinutes": 11.6,
      "metering": {
        "llmCalls": 1502,
        "tokensIn": 33059432,
        "tokensOut": 246179,
        "callsMissingTokens": 0,
        "estimatedCostUsd": 0,
        "callsMissingEstimate": 0
      },
      "effectiveModels": [
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3.5-lightning-30b-a3b",
          "calls": 56
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-omni-30b-a3b-reasoning",
          "calls": 119
        },
        {
          "effective_model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-super-120b-a12b",
          "calls": 1327
        }
      ],
      "currentOpen": {
        "futures": {
          "n": 1,
          "marginMusd": 3755.64
        },
        "predictionMarkets": {
          "n": 26,
          "stakeMusd": 20488.61
        }
      },
      "dailySnapshotCoverage": {
        "n": 7,
        "first": "2026-10-01T00:00:00",
        "last": "2026-10-07T00:00:00"
      },
      "settledForecastSample": 0
    }
  ]
}